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Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · #25 · Starter
PG6'4"190 lbage 242 yrs expUC Santa BarbaraLiege, Belgium
9th best of 11 on OKCworth +1.2 wins to the rotation
OFF77DEF82
Elite perimeter defender & scorer
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
Western · Northwest · proj. 68-14
→

A breakout second-year combo guard who played his way into the rotation — 13.6 points on efficient 58.5% true shooting with secondary playmaking and surprisingly sturdy defense. A spark-plug whose two-way feel is well ahead of his experience.

13.6
PPG
3.3
RPG
3.6
APG
1.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 57MPG 25.8FG% 48.53P% 34.7FT% 87TS% 58.5USG% 21.8PER 16.8BPM +1.9VORP 1.4
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Perimeter defense93
Scoring84
Rim protection84
Inside finishing83
Playmaking82
Shooting80
Rebounding77

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2024-25 to 2025-26 · 2 seasons
10.8
PPG
2.8
RPG
2.9
APG
93
GAMES
Points 1,008Win Shares 6.3Starts 17Best season 2025-26 · 13.6 ppg

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2024-25 → 2025-26 · age 22 → 23
▲Rising

Ajay, at 23, is on a clear upward trajectory — 1.4 → 3.8 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 5.0 wins (+1.2)
Age should add a little at 24. Range 4.2–5.8 wins.
Production (BPM)-1.6 → +1.9+3.526-27 forecast +1.6
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2024-25: -1.6 · 36 games2025-26: +1.9 · 57 games2026-27: +1.6 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.4 → 3.8+2.426-27 forecast 5.0
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2024-25: 1.4 · 36 games2025-26: 3.8 · 57 games2026-27: 5.0 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $16.4M vs $2.9M salary+$13.6M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$2.9M salary2024-25: $3.4M · 36 games2025-26: $9.4M · 57 games2026-27: $16.4M (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Current deal: $2,850,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2024-25 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$2,850,000Guaranteed
1% of the club’s payroll · 14th of 15 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$16,404,009 /yr
Surplus+$13,554,009
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.