🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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Al Horford

Golden State Warriors · #20 · Starter
C6'8"240 lbage 4019 yrs expFloridaPuerto Plata, Dominican Republic
5th best of 14 on GSWworth +1.3 wins to the rotation
OFF75DEF78
Elite playmaker & shooter
GSW
Golden State Warriors
Western · Pacific · proj. 50-32 (▲+9.7)
→
All-NBA5× All-StarAll-Defensive

A 40-year-old throwback big whose game has aged gracefully into a high-IQ floor-spacer and rim-protector. He drained 36.1% from deep, passed like a guard for his size (2.6 assists, elite playmaking percentile) and posted elite rim protection with 1.1 blocks across 45 games. Modest scoring (8.3), but the connective and defensive value is real.

8.3
PPG
4.9
RPG
2.6
APG
0.7
SPG
1.1
BPG
GP 45MPG 21.5FG% 42.63P% 36.1FT% 84.6TS% 55.4USG% 16.5PER 14.7BPM +1.6VORP 0.9EPM +1.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Playmaking94
Shooting93
Rim protection86
Perimeter defense84
Scoring62
Inside finishing61
Rebounding58

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2007-08 to 2025-26 · 19 seasons
12.7
PPG
7.7
RPG
3.2
APG
1,183
GAMES
Points 15,077Win Shares 119.4Starts 1,091Best season 2009-10 · 14.2 ppg
Games played, last three seasons69%
AMONG CURRENT PLAYERS
11th in Win Shares22nd in All-Star selections11th in games played

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 37 → 39
▼Declining

Al, at 39, is trending downward — 5.8 → 2.9 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Declining about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▬ 3.1 wins (+0.2)
Assumes a normal season; he played 45 games last year. Age takes about 1.6 wins off at 40. Range 1.8–4.3 wins.
Production (BPM)+3.6 → +1.6-2.026-27 forecast +0.8
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +3.6 · 65 games2024-25: +1.2 · 60 games2025-26: +1.6 · 45 games2026-27: +0.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)5.8 → 2.9-3.026-27 forecast 3.1
His win contribution is trending down.
2023-24: 5.8 · 65 games2024-25: 3.6 · 60 games2025-26: 2.9 · 45 games2026-27: 3.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $7.0M vs $7.0M salary−$0.0M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$7.0M salary2023-24: $25.1M · 65 games2024-25: $8.5M · 60 games2025-26: $6.4M · 45 games2026-27: $7.0M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $7,000,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$7,000,000Guaranteed
3% of the club’s payroll · 6th of 14 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$6,966,000 /yr
Surplus−$34,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.