🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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Alex Sarr

Washington Wizards · #20 · Rotation
C7'0"205 lbage 212 yrs exp
4th best of 15 on WASworth +1.3 wins to the rotation
OFF75DEF75
Elite rim protector & playmaker
WAS
Washington Wizards
Eastern · Southeast · proj. 34-48 (▲+10.8)
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A 21-year-old unicorn center and the most exciting piece of Washington's rebuild — a 98th-percentile rim protector who swatted 2.0 a night and cleaned the glass (86th percentile rebounding) over 48 games. He chipped in 16.3 points and even ventures out to the arc, though at 33% the jumper is still a work in progress and the 54% true shooting needs to climb.

16.3
PPG
7.4
RPG
2.7
APG
0.8
SPG
2
BPG
GP 48MPG 27.2FG% 48.23P% 33.3FT% 69.2TS% 54.4USG% 25.7PER 19.4BPM +0.7VORP 0.9EPM +0.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection94
Playmaking83
Shooting76
Scoring73
Rebounding69
Perimeter defense69
Inside finishing58

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2024-25 to 2025-26 · 2 seasons
14.4
PPG
6.9
RPG
2.5
APG
115
GAMES
Points 1,652Win Shares 1.3Starts 115Best season 2025-26 · 16.3 ppg

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2024-25 → 2025-26 · age 19 → 20
▲Rising

Alex, at 20, is on a clear upward trajectory — 0.1 → 2.9 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.7 wins (+1.9)
Assumes a normal season; he played 48 games last year. Age should add a little at 21. Range 3.9–5.5 wins.
Production (BPM)-3.3 → +0.7+4.026-27 forecast -0.5
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2024-25: -3.3 · 67 games2025-26: +0.7 · 48 games2026-27: -0.5 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.1 → 2.9+2.826-27 forecast 4.7
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2024-25: 0.1 · 67 games2025-26: 2.9 · 48 games2026-27: 4.7 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $14.5M vs $12.4M salary+$2.1M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$12.4M salary2024-25: $1.6M · 67 games2025-26: $6.4M · 48 games2026-27: $14.5M (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Current deal: $12,370,680 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2024-25 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$12,370,680Team option
6% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 14 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$14,516,000 /yr
Surplus+$2,145,320
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.