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Bub Carrington

Washington Wizards · #7 · Rotation
PG6'4"190 lbage 202 yrs expPittsburghBaltimore, MD
6th best of 15 on WASworth +0.7 wins to the rotation
OFF67DEF63
Capable playmaker & shooter
WAS
Washington Wizards
Eastern · Southeast · proj. 34-48 (▲+10.8)
→

A durable 20-year-old combo guard who played all 82 games and flashed real point-guard feel — 4.6 assists and 40.8% from three on spot-up looks. The efficiency and decision-making are uneven (3rd-percentile ball security, lots of turnovers) and he doesn't pressure the rim or defend yet, but the shooting and passing base at his age is a genuine foundation.

10.7
PPG
3.4
RPG
4.6
APG
0.6
SPG
0.2
BPG
GP 82MPG 27.7FG% 42.43P% 40.8FT% 73TS% 55.6USG% 18PER 9.9BPM -4.7VORP -1.6EPM +0.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Playmaking77
Shooting75
Scoring72
Rebounding71
Rim protection65
Perimeter defense54
Inside finishing53

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2024-25 to 2025-26 · 2 seasons
10.3
PPG
3.8
RPG
4.5
APG
164
GAMES
Points 1,685Win Shares -0.2Starts 105Best season 2024-25 · 9.8 ppg

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2024-25 → 2025-26 · age 19 → 20
▬Steady

Bub, at 20, has held steady — 0.0 → 0.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.2 wins (+4.2)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 21. Range 3.4–5.0 wins.
Production (BPM)-4.6 → -4.7-0.126-27 forecast -4.0
His production has held roughly steady.
2024-25: -4.6 · 82 games2025-26: -4.7 · 82 games2026-27: -4.0 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.0 → 0.0+0.026-27 forecast 4.2
His value to a team has been stable.
2024-25: 0.0 · 82 games2025-26: 0.0 · 82 games2026-27: 4.2 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $11.1M vs $4.9M salary+$6.2M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$4.9M salary2024-25: $1.5M · 82 games2025-26: $1.5M · 82 games2026-27: $11.1M (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Current deal: $4,900,560 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2024-25 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$4,900,560Team option
3% of the club’s payroll · 10th of 14 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$11,092,000 /yr
Surplus+$6,191,440
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.