🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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Buddy Hield

Atlanta Hawks · #8 · Rotation
SG6'4"220 lbage 3310 yrs expOklahomaFreeport, GB
9th best of 15 on ATLworth +0.2 wins to the rotation
OFF71DEF77
Elite interior finisher & rebounder
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
Eastern · Southeast · proj. 41-41 (▲+1.7)
→

A career marksman in the back nine of his career, now a 33-year-old bench scorer dealing with declining volume — 7.6 points across 16 minutes a night last season, with the three-point clip dipping to 34.9%. The reputation is the catch-and-shoot gravity, and he can still get hot in a hurry, but the efficiency and role have shrunk. Instant-offense insurance off the bench whose value lives and dies with the jumper.

7.6
PPG
2.3
RPG
1.4
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
GP 51MPG 16.1FG% 43.73P% 34.9FT% 81.1TS% 56.8USG% 20.3PER 12.8BPM -1VORP 0.2EPM -0.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing95
Rebounding86
Perimeter defense85
Rim protection77
Shooting73
Scoring70
Playmaking62

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2016-17 to 2025-26 · 10 seasons
14.5
PPG
4.0
RPG
2.4
APG
765
GAMES
Points 11,122Win Shares 28.7Starts 437Best season 2018-19 · 20.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons88%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 31 → 33
▼Declining

Buddy, at 33, is trending downward — 3.6 → 1.6 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Declining about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▬ 1.7 wins (+0.1)
Assumes a normal season; he played 51 games last year. Age takes about 1.1 wins off at 34. Range 0.6–2.7 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.4 → -1.0-1.426-27 forecast -1.3
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +0.4 · 84 games2024-25: -1.0 · 82 games2025-26: -1.0 · 51 games2026-27: -1.3 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.6 → 1.6-2.026-27 forecast 1.7
His win contribution is trending down.
2023-24: 3.6 · 84 games2024-25: 2.1 · 82 games2025-26: 1.6 · 51 games2026-27: 1.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $4.0M vs $9.7M salary−$5.7M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$9.7M salary2023-24: $8.5M · 84 games2024-25: $4.7M · 82 games2025-26: $3.8M · 51 games2026-27: $4.0M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $9,658,536 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$9,658,536Guaranteed
5% of the club’s payroll · 9th of 15 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$3,961,333 /yr
Surplus−$5,697,203
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.