๐Ÿ€Front Office2026-27
โ† Atlanta Hawks
86
OVR

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks ยท SF ยท age 24 ยท All-Star
OFF84DEF82
Elite rebounder & playmaker
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
Eastern ยท Southeast ยท proj. 39โ€“43
โ†’
All-NBA Third TeamAn All-Star

The Hawks' breakout cornerstone and the engine of everything they do โ€” a 24-year-old point-forward who made his first All-Star team and All-NBA Third Team while filling the box score at 22.5/10.3/7.9. He rebounds like a big (90th percentile), pushes the break, and creates for everyone (85th-percentile playmaking) while defending up the lineup. The jumper is just respectable at 35% and he's loose with the ball, but on a max deal he's a genuine two-way franchise piece.

22.5
PPG
10.3
RPG
7.9
APG
1.2
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 72MPG 35.2FG% 48.93P% 35.2FT% 78.8TS% 58.1USG% 27PER 20.4BPM +4.2VORP 4EPM +3.2
2025-26 regular season

NBA player ratings

0โ€“99 ยท 2025-26 form
Rebounding98
Playmaking95
Perimeter defense89
Scoring85
Shooting76
Inside finishing71
Rim protection66

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0โ€“99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Trajectory

2023-24 โ†’ 2025-26 ยท age 22 โ†’ 24
โ–ฒRising

Jalen, at 24, is on a clear upward trajectory โ€” 4.0 โ†’ 8.6 wins of value over the window.

Age curveโ–ฒ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 proj.โ–ฒ 9.8 (+1.2)
Momentum and age both point up โ€” more growth likely at 25. Range 7.3โ€“12.4 wins.
Production (BPM)+1.2 โ†’ +4.2+3.0
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
23-2425-26
Value to team (wins)4.0 โ†’ 8.6+4.7
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
23-2425-2626-27
Contract value (surplus)โˆ’$13.3M โ†’ $6.2M+$19.6M
He's a bargain โ€” and growing into the deal.
23-2425-26
Current deal: $30,000,000 cap hit ยท through '30. Contract-value surplus estimates the open-market worth of his play against this salary (held constant โ€” historical cap hits aren't tracked).

Trajectory from Basketball-Reference season lines (2023-24 โ†’ 2025-26). Production = box plus-minus; value = VORP-derived win value (same scale as the win model); contract surplus = estimated market value of that play minus salary.

2026-27 cap $30,000,000Contract GuaranteedThrough '30