🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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OVR

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Indiana Pacers · Rotation
SF6'8"203 lbage 3011 yrs expKansasHenderson, NV
12th best of 15 on IND
OFF70DEF74
Capable perimeter defender & scorer
IND
Indiana Pacers
Eastern · Central · proj. 52-30 (▲+0.1)
→

A streaky, athletic wing scorer and free agent who chipped in 14.1 points on 36% from three across 50 games. He brings energy, length and disruptive defense (1.4 steals) but offers almost nothing as a playmaker — a low-usage 3-and-slash piece who lives off others' creation.

14.1
PPG
5
RPG
1.6
APG
1.4
SPG
0.5
BPG
GP 50MPG 31.5FG% 46.73P% 36FT% 76.6TS% 58USG% 18.2PER 13BPM -1.4VORP 0.2EPM 0.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Perimeter defense84
Scoring78
Shooting75
Inside finishing74
Rim protection72
Rebounding66
Playmaking57

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2015-16 to 2025-26 · 11 seasons
13.3
PPG
4.7
RPG
1.2
APG
705
GAMES
Points 9,401Win Shares 27.6Starts 352Best season 2019-20 · 18.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons72%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 28 → 30
▬Steady

Kelly, at 30, has held steady — 1.0 → 1.6 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Aging better than the curve — holding his level longer than most.
2026-27 forecast▲ 2.5 wins (+1.0)
Assumes a normal season; he played 50 games last year. Age takes about 0.5 wins off at 31. Range 1.6–3.5 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.3 → -1.4+0.926-27 forecast -2.2
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: -2.3 · 68 games2024-25: -2.3 · 60 games2025-26: -1.4 · 50 games2026-27: -2.2 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.0 → 1.6+0.626-27 forecast 2.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.0 · 68 games2024-25: 1.0 · 60 games2025-26: 1.6 · 50 games2026-27: 2.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $5.5M vs $8.5M salary−$3.0M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$8.5M salary2023-24: $2.8M · 68 games2024-25: $2.8M · 60 games2025-26: $3.8M · 50 games2026-27: $5.5M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $8,500,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$8,500,000Guaranteed
4% of the club’s payroll · 8th of 13 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$5,535,000 /yr
Surplus−$2,965,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.