🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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Mitchell Robinson

Boston Celtics · #4 · Plus starter
C7'0"240 lbage 288 yrs expPensacola, FL
3rd best of 11 on BOSworth +2.5 wins to the rotation
OFF80DEF84
Elite rebounder & interior finisher
BOS
Boston Celtics
Eastern · Atlantic · proj. 62-20 (▲+1.4)
→

A throwback rim-running, shot-blocking center who finishes everything inside (72.3% from the field, 99th-percentile inside finishing) and dominates the glass — 8.8 boards in just 19.6 minutes off the bench. An elite rim protector and screen-and-roll lob threat, but he offers zero floor spacing and is a liability at the line at 40.8%. Now an unrestricted free agent.

5.7
PPG
8.8
RPG
0.9
APG
0.9
SPG
1.2
BPG
GP 60MPG 19.6FG% 72.33P% —FT% 40.8TS% 67.6USG% 10.7PER 21.1BPM +3.5VORP 1.6EPM +1.7
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rebounding99
Inside finishing96
Perimeter defense95
Rim protection91
Scoring72
Playmaking60
Shooting58

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
7.5
PPG
8.0
RPG
0.7
APG
397
GAMES
Points 2,976Win Shares 41.0Starts 215Best season 2021-22 · 8.5 ppg
Games played, last three seasons44%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 25 → 27
▲Rising

Mitchell, at 27, is on a clear upward trajectory — 1.9 → 4.2 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 5.4 wins (+1.2)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Range 3.9–6.9 wins.
Production (BPM)0.0 → +3.5+3.526-27 forecast +2.8
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: 0.0 · 31 games2024-25: +3.3 · 17 games2025-26: +3.5 · 60 games2026-27: +2.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.9 → 4.2+2.226-27 forecast 5.4
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 1.9 · 31 games2024-25: 1.9 · 17 games2025-26: 4.2 · 60 games2026-27: 5.4 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $19.9M vs $15.8M salary+$4.1M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$15.8M salary2023-24: $4.4M · 31 games2024-25: $4.4M · 17 games2025-26: $11.0M · 60 games2026-27: $19.9M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $15,800,000 cap hit · through '29. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$15,800,000Guaranteed
8% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 13 priced deals
Runs through3 seasons
Est. market value$19,892,000 /yr
Surplus+$4,092,000
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.