🏀Front Office2026-27
 
← Orlando Magic
84
OVR

Paolo Banchero★

Orlando Magic · #5 · Plus starter
PF6'10"250 lbage 234 yrs expDukeSeattle, WA
3rd best of 12 on ORLworth +4.7 wins to the rotation
OFF78DEF75
Elite rebounder & playmaker
ORL
Orlando Magic
Eastern · Southeast · proj. 46-36 (▲+2.3)
→
All-StarRookie of the Year

Orlando's franchise centerpiece and a foul-drawing machine — 97th percentile, the engine behind 22.2 points, 8.4 boards and 5.2 assists at age 23. He bullies into the paint and rebounds at a forward-elite clip, but the efficiency tells the story of the work ahead: 45.9% from the floor, 30.5% from three, and 56.6% true shooting on a heavy 27.6% usage.

22.2
PPG
8.4
RPG
5.2
APG
0.7
SPG
0.6
BPG
GP 72MPG 34.8FG% 45.93P% 30.5FT% 77.5TS% 56.6USG% 27.6PER 17.6BPM +1.4VORP 2.1EPM +3.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rebounding94
Playmaking85
Scoring80
Rim protection72
Shooting67
Perimeter defense66
Inside finishing59

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2022-23 to 2025-26 · 4 seasons
22.3
PPG
7.4
RPG
4.8
APG
270
GAMES
Points 6,031Win Shares 16.1Starts 270Best season 2023-24 · 22.6 ppg
Games played, last three seasons81%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 21 → 23
▬Steady

Paolo, at 23, has held steady — 5.5 → 5.1 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Developing about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 7.7 wins (+2.6)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 24. Range 6.9–8.5 wins.
Production (BPM)+1.3 → +1.4+0.126-27 forecast +2.2
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: +1.3 · 80 games2024-25: +3.5 · 46 games2025-26: +1.4 · 72 games2026-27: +2.2 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)5.5 → 5.1-0.426-27 forecast 7.7
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 5.5 · 80 games2024-25: 5.3 · 46 games2025-26: 5.1 · 72 games2026-27: 7.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $43.3M vs $41.5M salary+$1.8M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$41.5M salary2023-24: $20.6M · 80 games2024-25: $19.0M · 46 games2025-26: $17.5M · 72 games2026-27: $43.3M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $41,500,000 cap hit · through '31. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$41,500,000Guaranteed
19% of the club’s payroll · 2nd of 14 priced deals
Runs through5 seasons
Est. market value$43,340,000 /yr
Surplus+$1,840,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.