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Patrick Williams

Chicago Bulls · #44 · Rotation
PF6'6"215 lbage 246 yrs expFlorida StateCharlotte, NC
8th best of 13 on CHIworth +0.7 wins to the rotation
OFF61DEF69
Capable rim protector & perimeter defender
CHI
Chicago Bulls
Eastern · Central · proj. 32-50 (▲+12.2)
→

Still just 24 and on a big-money deal, but the production hasn't followed — 7.0 points on 37% shooting and a brutal 49.4% true shooting in 20 minutes a night. The physical tools and frame are tantalizing, yet he disappears for stretches (12th-percentile scoring, dead-last inside finishing) and remains one of the league's more frustrating what-ifs.

7
PPG
3
RPG
1.5
APG
0.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 72MPG 20.5FG% 37.23P% 34.7FT% 72TS% 49.4USG% 16.6PER 8.2BPM -4.5VORP -0.9EPM +0.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection75
Perimeter defense70
Shooting69
Playmaking66
Rebounding59
Scoring56
Inside finishing51

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2020-21 to 2025-26 · 6 seasons
9.0
PPG
3.9
RPG
1.5
APG
348
GAMES
Points 3,141Win Shares 8.3Starts 217Best season 2022-23 · 10.2 ppg
Games played, last three seasons72%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 22 → 24
▼Declining

Patrick, at 24, is trending downward — -2.3 → -4.5 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 3.6 wins (+3.6)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 25. Range 2.5–4.7 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.3 → -4.5-2.226-27 forecast -3.6
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: -2.3 · 43 games2024-25: -3.7 · 63 games2025-26: -4.5 · 72 games2026-27: -3.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.0 → 0.0-1.026-27 forecast 3.6
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.0 · 43 games2024-25: 0.0 · 63 games2025-26: 0.0 · 72 games2026-27: 3.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $8.7M vs $18.0M salary−$9.3M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$18.0M salary2023-24: $2.8M · 43 games2024-25: $1.5M · 63 games2025-26: $1.5M · 72 games2026-27: $8.7M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $18,000,000 cap hit · through '29. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$18,000,000Guaranteed
11% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 14 priced deals
Runs through3 seasons
Est. market value$8,672,000 /yr
Surplus−$9,328,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.