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Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · #00 · Rotation
PG6'3"207 lbage 223 yrs expMarietta, GA
10th best of 14 on POR
OFF69DEF72
Capable rim protector & shooter
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
Western · Northwest · proj. 54-28 (▲+11.1)
→

A 22-year-old lottery pick still searching for traction, his season cut to 30 games. He flashes the burst and pull-up scoring (14.2 points, 84% from the line) but the efficiency hasn't come — 41.8% shooting, a turnover-prone handle, and a -2.2 box score that bring real questions. The team option says it all: talent's there, but the production needs to follow.

14.2
PPG
2.7
RPG
3.7
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 30MPG 24.9FG% 41.83P% 35.2FT% 84TS% 55.3USG% 25PER 12.9BPM -2.2VORP 0EPM -0.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection79
Shooting78
Scoring77
Perimeter defense74
Playmaking71
Rebounding62
Inside finishing61

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2023-24 to 2025-26 · 3 seasons
13.5
PPG
3.0
RPG
5.0
APG
158
GAMES
Points 2,132Win Shares 1.1Starts 52Best season 2024-25 · 12.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons64%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 19 → 21
▲Rising

Scoot, at 21, is on a clear upward trajectory — 0.0 → 1.2 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 3.5 wins (+2.3)
Assumes a normal season; he played 30 games last year. Age should add a little at 22. Range 2.5–4.6 wins.
Production (BPM)-5.8 → -2.2+3.626-27 forecast -2.6
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: -5.8 · 62 games2024-25: -2.2 · 66 games2025-26: -2.2 · 30 games2026-27: -2.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.0 → 1.2+1.226-27 forecast 3.5
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 0.0 · 62 games2024-25: 1.0 · 66 games2025-26: 1.2 · 30 games2026-27: 3.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $8.2M vs $13.6M salary−$5.4M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$13.6M salary2023-24: $1.5M · 62 games2024-25: $2.8M · 66 games2025-26: $3.1M · 30 games2026-27: $8.2M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $13,585,523 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$13,585,523Team option
7% of the club’s payroll · 6th of 13 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$8,188,000 /yr
Surplus−$5,397,523
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.