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Trey Lyles

Minnesota Timberwolves · Rotation
PF6'9"234 lb10 yrs expKentuckyIndianapolis, IN
10th best of 12 on MINworth +0.4 wins to the rotation
OFF71DEF75
High-level rebounder & interior finisher
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
Western · Northwest · proj. 48-34 (▲+1.8)
→

Trey Lyles is a rotation-level forward. His game is built on his rebounding (91) and inside finishing (79), while his scoring (62) is the clear limitation. In 2024-25, he averaged 6.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

6.5
PPG
4.6
RPG
1.2
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 69MPG 19.6FG% 423P% 34FT% 70TS% 55.1USG% 14.3PER 12.3BPM -0.7VORP 0.4
2024-25 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2024-25 form
Rebounding91
Inside finishing79
Rim protection77
Playmaking75
Perimeter defense75
Shooting65
Scoring62

Skill ratings are 2024-25 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2015-16 to 2024-25 · 10 seasons
7.6
PPG
4.3
RPG
1.1
APG
650
GAMES
Points 4,935Win Shares 22.0Starts 131Best season 2017-18 · 9.9 ppg
Games played, last three seasons52%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2024-25 · age 28 → 29
▬Steady

Trey, at 29, has held steady — 1.7 → 1.9 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Aging better than the curve — holding his level longer than most.
2026-27 forecast▬ 1.7 wins (-0.2)
Age takes about 0.8 wins off at 31. Range 0.9–2.5 wins.
Production (BPM)-1.1 → -0.7+0.426-27 forecast -1.4
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: -1.1 · 58 games2024-25: -0.7 · 69 games2026-27: -1.4 (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Value to team (wins)1.7 → 1.9+0.226-27 forecast 1.7
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.7 · 58 games2024-25: 1.9 · 69 games2026-27: 1.7 (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $4.1M
Unsigned, so there is no 2026-27 salary to measure against. This is roughly what his play would fetch on the open market.
2023-24: $4.1M · 58 games2024-25: $4.4M · 69 games2026-27: $4.1M (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Current deal: through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2024-25). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
—Signed · terms pending
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$4,066,621 /yr
Surplus+$4,066,621
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.