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Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans · #25 · Plus starter
SF6'8"206 lbage 265 yrs expVirginiaDurham, NC
2nd best of 13 on NOPworth +4.3 wins to the rotation
OFF87DEF71
Elite scorer & shooter
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
Western · Southwest · proj. 34-48 (▼1.7)
→

The Pelicans' breakout wing and best two-way bet — 21.5 points on 38% from three and a sterling 88.6% at the line, with the size to switch and the off-ball gravity to space the floor. He cut his turnovers (81st percentile ball security) and stepped into a primary scoring role; a 61.3% true-shooting clip on real volume marks him as a borderline All-Star.

21.5
PPG
5.7
RPG
3.8
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 66MPG 35.5FG% 473P% 37.9FT% 88.6TS% 61.3USG% 22.7PER 18.3BPM +2.4VORP 2.6EPM +1.8
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Scoring92
Shooting92
Playmaking87
Inside finishing83
Perimeter defense78
Rebounding66
Rim protection62

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2021-22 to 2025-26 · 5 seasons
15.4
PPG
4.3
RPG
2.2
APG
317
GAMES
Points 4,868Win Shares 24.4Starts 206Best season 2022-23 · 14.5 ppg
Games played, last three seasons72%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 23 → 25
▲Rising

Trey, at 25, is on a clear upward trajectory — 4.7 → 6.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Developing about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▬ 5.7 wins (-0.3)
Age should add a little at 26. Range 3.9–7.6 wins.
Production (BPM)+2.5 → +2.4-0.126-27 forecast +2.1
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: +2.5 · 57 games2024-25: +0.8 · 53 games2025-26: +2.4 · 66 games2026-27: +2.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)4.7 → 6.0+1.326-27 forecast 5.7
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 4.7 · 57 games2024-25: 3.6 · 53 games2025-26: 6.0 · 66 games2026-27: 5.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $23.7M vs $27.0M salary−$3.3M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$27.0M salary2023-24: $14.3M · 57 games2024-25: $8.5M · 53 games2025-26: $27.5M · 66 games2026-27: $23.7M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $27,000,000 cap hit · through '29. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$27,000,000Guaranteed
14% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 14 priced deals
Runs through3 seasons
Est. market value$23,672,000 /yr
Surplus−$3,328,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.