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A.J. Green

Milwaukee Bucks · #20 · Rotation
SG6'4"190 lbage 264 yrs expNorthern IowaCedar Falls, IA
6th best of 15 on MILworth +1.3 wins to the rotation
OFF70DEF64
High-level shooter & scorer
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
Eastern · Central · proj. 30-52 (▼10.5)
→

A pure marksman off the bench whose entire game is the three-ball — 41.9% on high volume, 89th-percentile shooting, for 10.4 points a night. He's a knockdown floor-spacer and little else: the rebounding, perimeter defense, and interior presence all sit in the basement, so he's a one-skill specialist who has to keep drilling shots.

10.4
PPG
2.7
RPG
1.9
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
GP 78MPG 29.1FG% 42.43P% 41.9FT% 85.5TS% 62.7USG% 14PER 9.4BPM -3.3VORP -0.8EPM +0.7
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Shooting91
Scoring85
Playmaking62
Inside finishing58
Rebounding58
Rim protection56
Perimeter defense54

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2022-23 to 2025-26 · 4 seasons
7.3
PPG
2.0
RPG
1.3
APG
242
GAMES
Points 1,756Win Shares 7.1Starts 76Best season 2024-25 · 7.4 ppg
Games played, last three seasons84%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 24 → 26
▼Declining

A.J., at 26, is trending downward — 1.2 → 0.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.1 wins (+4.1)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Range 3.0–5.1 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.1 → -3.3-1.226-27 forecast -2.8
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: -2.1 · 56 games2024-25: -2.2 · 73 games2025-26: -3.3 · 78 games2026-27: -2.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.2 → 0.0-1.226-27 forecast 4.1
His win contribution is trending down.
2023-24: 1.2 · 56 games2024-25: 1.0 · 73 games2025-26: 0.0 · 78 games2026-27: 4.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $10.6M vs $10.0M salary+$0.5M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$10.0M salary2023-24: $3.1M · 56 games2024-25: $2.8M · 73 games2025-26: $1.5M · 78 games2026-27: $10.6M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $10,044,644 cap hit · through '30. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$10,044,644Guaranteed
6% of the club’s payroll · 6th of 15 priced deals
Runs through4 seasons
Est. market value$10,564,000 /yr
Surplus+$519,356
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.