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Ayo Dosunmu

Minnesota Timberwolves · #13 · Rotation
SG6'4"200 lbage 265 yrs expIllinoisChicago, IL
6th best of 12 on MINworth +1.0 wins to the rotation
OFF82DEF73
Elite shooter & scorer
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
Western · Northwest · proj. 48-34 (▲+1.8)
→

A combo guard coming off a sharp shooting season split between two teams — 14.8 points on a scorching 43.9% from three and 87.6% at the line, with steady playmaking and few turnovers. He's an unrestricted free agent this summer; the efficiency and shot-making give him a clear rotation niche wherever he lands.

14.8
PPG
3.4
RPG
3.6
APG
0.8
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 69MPG 27.3FG% 51.73P% 43.9FT% 87.6TS% 63USG% 20.2PER 16.5BPM +1VORP 1.4EPM +0.3
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Shooting94
Scoring91
Inside finishing88
Playmaking81
Rebounding74
Perimeter defense72
Rim protection71

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2021-22 to 2025-26 · 5 seasons
11.1
PPG
3.0
RPG
3.3
APG
348
GAMES
Points 3,878Win Shares 17.5Starts 173Best season 2025-26 · 14.8 ppg
Games played, last three seasons78%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 24 → 26
▲Rising

Ayo, at 26, is on a clear upward trajectory — 2.5 → 3.8 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▬ 3.5 wins (-0.3)
At 27, expect about the same level. Range 1.6–5.4 wins.
Production (BPM)-0.8 → +1.0+1.826-27 forecast +0.0
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: -0.8 · 76 games2024-25: -1.6 · 46 games2025-26: +1.0 · 69 games2026-27: +0.0 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)2.5 → 3.8+1.326-27 forecast 3.5
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 2.5 · 76 games2024-25: 1.4 · 46 games2025-26: 3.8 · 69 games2026-27: 3.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $8.1M vs $22.4M salary−$14.3M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$22.4M salary2023-24: $5.4M · 76 games2024-25: $3.4M · 46 games2025-26: $9.4M · 69 games2026-27: $8.1M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $22,400,000 cap hit · through '31. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$22,400,000Guaranteed
11% of the club’s payroll · 5th of 12 priced deals
Runs through5 seasons
Est. market value$8,100,000 /yr
Surplus−$14,300,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.