🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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OVR

Tyler Herro

Milwaukee Bucks · #14 · Starter
SG6'5"205 lbage 267 yrs expKentuckyMilwaukee, WI
2nd best of 15 on MILworth +1.9 wins to the rotation
OFF84DEF72
High-level scorer & shooter
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
Eastern · Central · proj. 30-52 (▼10.5)
→
All-StarSixth Man of the Year

A pure shotmaker and Miami's lead scoring guard when healthy, though a knee issue limited him to just 33 games last season. When he played he poured in 20.5 a night on a sparkling 60.2% true shooting — 37.8% from deep, 91.7% at the line — with growing playmaking chops at 4.1 assists. The defense remains the catch: he's a target on that end and offers little resistance at the rim.

20.5
PPG
4.8
RPG
4.1
APG
0.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 33MPG 31.3FG% 483P% 37.8FT% 91.7TS% 60.2USG% 24.7PER 17.1BPM +2VORP 1.1EPM +1.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Scoring91
Shooting91
Inside finishing87
Rebounding86
Rim protection77
Playmaking76
Perimeter defense64

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2019-20 to 2025-26 · 7 seasons
19.5
PPG
5.0
RPG
4.1
APG
394
GAMES
Points 7,664Win Shares 22.3Starts 245Best season 2024-25 · 23.9 ppg
Games played, last three seasons62%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 24 → 26
▲Rising

Tyler, at 26, is on a clear upward trajectory — +0.8 → +2.0 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Developing about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.5 wins (+1.3)
Assumes a normal season; he played 33 games last year. Range 1.5–7.5 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.8 → +2.0+1.226-27 forecast +2.4
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: +0.8 · 42 games2024-25: +3.1 · 77 games2025-26: +2.0 · 33 games2026-27: +2.4 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.0 → 3.2+0.226-27 forecast 4.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 3.0 · 42 games2024-25: 7.7 · 77 games2025-26: 3.2 · 33 games2026-27: 4.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $12.4M vs $33.0M salary−$20.6M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$33.0M salary2023-24: $6.9M · 42 games2024-25: $43.3M · 77 games2025-26: $7.4M · 33 games2026-27: $12.4M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $33,000,000 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$33,000,000Guaranteed
20% of the club’s payroll · 1st of 15 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$12,412,000 /yr
Surplus−$20,588,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.