๐Ÿ€Front Office2026-27
โ† Atlanta Hawks
74
OVR

CJ McCollum

Atlanta Hawks ยท PG ยท age 34 ยท Rotation
OFF79DEF67
High-level rim protector & scorer
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
Eastern ยท Southeast ยท proj. 39โ€“43
โ†’

A polished veteran combo guard brought in to steady the backcourt, still good for 18.7 a night on 37.5% from three and a tidy 56.6% true shooting. He's a craft scorer and a willing setup man (3.9 assists, top-quartile ball security) who picks his spots out of the midrange. At 34 the limitations are real on the other end โ€” he doesn't rebound and gets hunted on defense โ€” but the shot-making and decision-making still matter.

18.7
PPG
3.3
RPG
3.9
APG
0.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
GP 76MPG 29.8FG% 45.53P% 37.5FT% 77.2TS% 56.6USG% 25.7PER 15.9BPM -0.3VORP 1
2025-26 regular season

NBA player ratings

0โ€“99 ยท 2025-26 form
Rim protection87
Scoring83
Playmaking76
Inside finishing75
Shooting74
Rebounding65
Perimeter defense60

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0โ€“99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Trajectory

2023-24 โ†’ 2025-26 ยท age 32 โ†’ 34
โ–ผDeclining

CJ, at 34, is trending downward โ€” 6.4 โ†’ 3.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curveโ–ผ Behind curve
Falling off faster than age alone predicts.
2026-27 proj.โ–ฌ 2.8 (-0.2)
CJ projects to roughly hold his current level. Range 0.2โ€“5.4 wins.
Production (BPM)+3.1 โ†’ -0.3-3.4
His on-court production has slipped.
23-2425-26
Value to team (wins)6.4 โ†’ 3.0-3.4
His win contribution is trending down.
23-2425-2626-27
Contract value (surplus)$5.9M โ†’ โˆ’$8.2Mโˆ’$14.1M
He's above his on-court value โ€” and outrunning the deal.
23-2425-26
Current deal: $21,000,000 cap hit ยท through '27. Contract-value surplus estimates the open-market worth of his play against this salary (held constant โ€” historical cap hits aren't tracked).

Trajectory from Basketball-Reference season lines (2023-24 โ†’ 2025-26). Production = box plus-minus; value = VORP-derived win value (same scale as the win model); contract surplus = estimated market value of that play minus salary.

2026-27 cap $21,000,000Contract GuaranteedThrough '27