🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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Collin Sexton

Los Angeles Lakers · Rotation
SG6'3"190 lbage 278 yrs expAlabamaMarietta, GA
6th best of 15 on LALworth +0.9 wins to the rotation
OFF79DEF72
High-level scorer & shooter
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
Western · Pacific · proj. 49-33 (▲+17.2)
→

An explosive, downhill combo guard who scored 15.4 a night on a scorching 61.5% true shooting, drilling 40.1% of his threes and getting to the line at will (80th percentile foul-drawing). He's score-first and undersized on the glass, but the efficiency and shot-making make him a real bucket off the bench — and he's now an unrestricted free agent.

15.4
PPG
2.3
RPG
3.3
APG
1.1
SPG
0.1
BPG
GP 68MPG 23.7FG% 48.53P% 40.1FT% 85.5TS% 61.5USG% 25.9PER 17.4BPM +0.6VORP 1.1EPM +0.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Scoring90
Shooting89
Inside finishing82
Perimeter defense82
Playmaking70
Rim protection62
Rebounding58

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
18.3
PPG
2.7
RPG
3.6
APG
475
GAMES
Points 8,708Win Shares 19.7Starts 357Best season 2023-24 · 18.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons85%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 25 → 27
▼Declining

Collin, at 27, is trending downward — 4.9 → 3.2 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 3.8 wins (+0.6)
At 28, expect about the same level. Range 2.0–5.7 wins.
Production (BPM)+1.9 → +0.6-1.326-27 forecast +0.5
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +1.9 · 78 games2024-25: -0.6 · 63 games2025-26: +0.6 · 68 games2026-27: +0.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)4.9 → 3.2-1.726-27 forecast 3.8
His win contribution is trending down.
2023-24: 4.9 · 78 games2024-25: 2.3 · 63 games2025-26: 3.2 · 68 games2026-27: 3.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $9.6M vs $9.5M salary+$0.1M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$9.5M salary2023-24: $15.9M · 78 games2024-25: $5.0M · 63 games2025-26: $7.4M · 68 games2026-27: $9.6M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $9,500,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$9,500,000Guaranteed
4% of the club’s payroll · 7th of 16 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$9,596,000 /yr
Surplus+$96,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.