🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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OVR

Gary Trent Jr.

Milwaukee Bucks · #5 · Rotation
SG6'5"204 lbage 278 yrs expDukeColumbus, OH
11th best of 15 on MILworth +0.3 wins to the rotation
OFF63DEF62
Capable shooter & scorer
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
Eastern · Central · proj. 30-52 (▼10.5)
→

A specialist 3-and-D guard whose role shrank this season to 8.1 points in 21 minutes. The jumper is the calling card — 36% from deep, a career strength — but the rest of the profile is thin (he barely rebounds and the interior defense is minimal), so he lives and dies by whether the shots are falling.

8.1
PPG
1
RPG
1.2
APG
0.5
SPG
0
BPG
GP 65MPG 21.2FG% 38.73P% 36FT% 76.9TS% 53.3USG% 17.2PER 8BPM -5.4VORP -1.2EPM 0.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Shooting70
Scoring64
Playmaking62
Inside finishing56
Perimeter defense56
Rim protection51
Rebounding50

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
13.0
PPG
2.2
RPG
1.4
APG
480
GAMES
Points 6,227Win Shares 19.0Starts 231Best season 2021-22 · 18.3 ppg
Games played, last three seasons85%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 25 → 27
▼Declining

Gary, at 27, is trending downward — -2.6 → -5.4 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 3.0 wins (+3.0)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Range 1.5–4.5 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.6 → -5.4-2.826-27 forecast -3.4
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: -2.6 · 71 games2024-25: -1.6 · 74 games2025-26: -5.4 · 65 games2026-27: -3.4 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.6 → 0.0-0.626-27 forecast 3.0
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 0.6 · 71 games2024-25: 1.6 · 74 games2025-26: 0.0 · 65 games2026-27: 3.0 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $6.8M vs $16.0M salary−$9.3M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$16.0M salary2023-24: $2.3M · 71 games2024-25: $3.8M · 74 games2025-26: $1.5M · 65 games2026-27: $6.8M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $16,000,000 cap hit · through '30. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$16,000,000Guaranteed
10% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 15 priced deals
Runs through4 seasons
Est. market value$6,750,000 /yr
Surplus−$9,250,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.