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Ivica Zubac

Indiana Pacers · #40 · Plus starter
C7'0"240 lbage 2910 yrs expMostar, Bosnia & Herzegovina
3rd best of 15 on INDworth +3.2 wins to the rotation
OFF76DEF70
High-level rebounder & scorer
IND
Indiana Pacers
Eastern · Central · proj. 52-30 (▲+0.1)
→
All-Defensive

A throwback drop-coverage center who eats on the glass — 10.6 boards a game, a monstrous 96th-percentile rebounder — and finishes everything inside at a 60% clip for 62% true shooting. He protects the rim (79th pct) and rolls hard, but offers zero floor spacing (no threes) and can't switch onto the perimeter; a classic five who does the dirty work cheaply.

14.1
PPG
10.6
RPG
2.2
APG
0.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
GP 48MPG 30.1FG% 59.83P% —FT% 71.1TS% 62.2USG% 19.2PER 18.6BPM -0.3VORP 0.6EPM +2.4
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rebounding87
Scoring83
Inside finishing73
Playmaking71
Shooting70
Rim protection66
Perimeter defense54

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2016-17 to 2025-26 · 10 seasons
10.5
PPG
8.3
RPG
1.4
APG
632
GAMES
Points 6,630Win Shares 55.5Starts 498Best season 2024-25 · 16.8 ppg
Games played, last three seasons80%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 26 → 28
▼Declining

Ivica, at 28, is trending downward — 3.6 → 2.3 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 6.2 wins (+3.9)
Assumes a normal season; he played 48 games last year. Age takes about 0.1 wins off at 29. Range 3.2–9.2 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.8 → -0.3-1.126-27 forecast +1.2
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +0.8 · 68 games2024-25: +3.1 · 80 games2025-26: -0.3 · 48 games2026-27: +1.2 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.6 → 2.3-1.326-27 forecast 6.2
His win contribution is trending down.
2023-24: 3.6 · 68 games2024-25: 7.5 · 80 games2025-26: 2.3 · 48 games2026-27: 6.2 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $29.8M vs $20.3M salary+$9.5M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$20.3M salary2023-24: $8.5M · 68 games2024-25: $42.4M · 80 games2025-26: $5.0M · 48 games2026-27: $29.8M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $20,342,140 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$20,342,140Guaranteed
10% of the club’s payroll · 3rd of 13 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$29,846,000 /yr
Surplus+$9,503,860
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.