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Nick Richards

Miami Heat · #8 · Reserve
C6'11"245 lbage 286 yrs expKentuckyKingston, Jamaica
12th best of 12 on MIA
OFF67DEF71
High-level rebounder & scorer
MIA
Miami Heat
Eastern · Southeast · proj. 54-28 (▲+14.6)
→

A vertical-spacing rim-runner and shot-blocking center who finishes lobs and protects the paint. There's no 2025-26 line to grade here; he profiles as a traditional backup five whose value lives at the rim, and he enters free agency as frontcourt depth.

9.3
PPG
8.2
RPG
0.9
APG
0.2
SPG
1
BPG
GP 57MPG 22FG% 59.13P% 0FT% 74.4TS% 63.4USG% 17.3PER 16.6BPM -3.3VORP -0.4
2024-25 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2024-25 form
Rebounding87
Scoring79
Rim protection79
Inside finishing75
Shooting72
Playmaking52
Perimeter defense51

Skill ratings are 2024-25 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2020-21 to 2025-26 · 6 seasons
7.1
PPG
5.8
RPG
0.6
APG
305
GAMES
Points 2,154Win Shares 13.9Starts 114Best season 2023-24 · 9.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons70%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 26 → 28
▼Declining

Nick, at 28, is trending downward — -2.3 → -6.1 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 0.5 wins (+0.5)
Assumes a normal season; he played 48 games last year. Age takes about 0.1 wins off at 29. Range 0.0–1.3 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.3 → -6.1-3.826-27 forecast -4.0
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: -2.3 · 67 games2024-25: -3.3 · 57 games2025-26: -6.1 · 48 games2026-27: -4.0 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.0 → 0.0-1.026-27 forecast 0.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.0 · 67 games2024-25: 0.4 · 57 games2025-26: 0.0 · 48 games2026-27: 0.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $2.1M
Unsigned, so there is no 2026-27 salary to measure against. This is roughly what his play would fetch on the open market.
2023-24: $2.8M · 67 games2024-25: $2.1M · 57 games2025-26: $1.5M · 48 games2026-27: $2.1M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
—Signed · terms pending
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$2,135,919 /yr
Surplus+$2,135,919
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.