🏀Front Office2026-27
 
← Indiana Pacers
75
OVR

Jarace Walker

Indiana Pacers · #5 · Rotation
PF6'7"235 lbage 223 yrs expHoustonNew Freedom, PA
10th best of 15 on INDworth +0.5 wins to the rotation
OFF67DEF71
Capable rebounder & shooter
IND
Indiana Pacers
Eastern · Central · proj. 52-30 (▲+0.1)
→

A 22-year-old switchable forward still putting it together, flashing real two-way tools across a full 76-game season — 5.1 rebounds, a developing 37.4% three-ball, and the frame to guard multiple spots. The efficiency (54% TS) and finishing inside (8th pct) need work, but at his age and price on a team option he's a high-upside developmental bet.

11.6
PPG
5.1
RPG
2.5
APG
0.8
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 76MPG 25.7FG% 41.93P% 37.4FT% 74.9TS% 54.3USG% 20.7PER 11.5BPM -2.4VORP -0.2EPM +0.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rebounding82
Shooting76
Playmaking72
Perimeter defense69
Scoring66
Rim protection66
Inside finishing53

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2023-24 to 2025-26 · 3 seasons
8.0
PPG
3.7
RPG
1.9
APG
184
GAMES
Points 1,465Win Shares 2.5Starts 46Best season 2024-25 · 6.1 ppg
Games played, last three seasons75%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 20 → 22
▼Declining

Jarace, at 22, is trending downward — +0.2 → -2.4 box plus-minus over the window.

2026-27 forecast▲ 4.5 wins (+3.7)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 23. Range 3.4–5.6 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.2 → -2.4-2.626-27 forecast -1.4
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +0.2 · 33 games2024-25: -0.9 · 75 games2025-26: -2.4 · 76 games2026-27: -1.4 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.6 → 0.8-0.726-27 forecast 4.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.6 · 33 games2024-25: 1.7 · 75 games2025-26: 0.8 · 76 games2026-27: 4.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $12.5M vs $8.5M salary+$4.0M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$8.5M salary2023-24: $3.8M · 33 games2024-25: $4.1M · 75 games2025-26: $2.5M · 76 games2026-27: $12.5M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $8,478,542 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$8,478,542Team option
4% of the club’s payroll · 9th of 13 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$12,456,000 /yr
Surplus+$3,977,458
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.