🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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Larry Nance Jr.

Indiana Pacers · Rotation
PF6'6"245 lbage 3311 yrs expWyomingAkron, OH
9th best of 15 on INDworth +0.3 wins to the rotation
OFF75DEF78
Elite perimeter defender & playmaker
IND
Indiana Pacers
Eastern · Central · proj. 52-30 (▲+0.1)
→

A veteran connector big — switchable, smart, and a willing passer from the elbow — who returns to Cleveland in a depth role. He missed the 2025-26 season, so there's no current sample to grade, but his track record is high-IQ team defense, glass work, and unselfish ball movement off the bench.

5.7
PPG
5
RPG
1.9
APG
1
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 61MPG 19.9FG% 57.33P% 41.5FT% 77TS% 65.3USG% 11.3PER 14.9BPM +2VORP 1.2EPM +0.4
2023-24 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2023-24 form
Perimeter defense96
Playmaking88
Inside finishing83
Shooting80
Scoring73
Rebounding61
Rim protection54

Skill ratings are 2023-24 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2015-16 to 2025-26 · 11 seasons
7.5
PPG
5.9
RPG
1.8
APG
581
GAMES
Points 4,335Win Shares 35.2Starts 140Best season 2017-18 · 8.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons49%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 31 → 33
▬Steady

Larry, at 33, was as productive as ever when he played, but managed only 35 games last season, so his value to a team dipped (3.4 → 0.8 wins).

2026-27 forecast▲ 2.5 wins (+1.7)
Assumes a normal season; he played 35 games last year. Age takes about 1.1 wins off at 34. Range 1.6–3.4 wins.
Production (BPM)+2.0 → -3.4-5.426-27 forecast -0.8
Only 448 minutes last season, too few to call a trend.
2023-24: +2.0 · 61 games2024-25: +1.8 · 24 games2025-26: -3.4 · 35 games2026-27: -0.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.4 → 0.8-2.626-27 forecast 2.5
Down because he played 35 games last season, not because his game slipped.
2023-24: 3.4 · 61 games2024-25: 1.9 · 24 games2025-26: 0.8 · 35 games2026-27: 2.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $5.4M vs $4.0M salary+$1.4M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$4.0M salary2023-24: $7.9M · 61 games2024-25: $4.4M · 24 games2025-26: $2.5M · 35 games2026-27: $5.4M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $4,000,000 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$4,000,000Guaranteed
2% of the club’s payroll · 11th of 13 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$5,427,000 /yr
Surplus+$1,427,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.