🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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OVR

Keon Ellis

Brooklyn Nets · Starter
SG6'4"175 lbage 264 yrs expAlabamaEustis, FL
3rd best of 14 on BKNworth +2.7 wins to the rotation
OFF68DEF80
Elite rim protector & interior finisher
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
Eastern · Atlantic · proj. 26-56 (▲+5.8)
→

A 3-and-D guard whose defense is the headline — 91st-percentile perimeter defense and 83rd-percentile rim protection for his position, with 1.2 steals in just 20 minutes. He keeps it simple offensively (6.7 points, 36.3% from three) and won't create for others, but he's a low-usage, high-disruption pest who fits any lineup. A free agent for 2026-27.

6.7
PPG
1.9
RPG
1
APG
1.2
SPG
0.6
BPG
GP 72MPG 20.5FG% 443P% 36.3FT% 72.9TS% 57.9USG% 13PER 10.8BPM -0.5VORP 0.6EPM +1.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection97
Inside finishing94
Perimeter defense94
Scoring70
Shooting67
Playmaking56
Rebounding55

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2022-23 to 2025-26 · 4 seasons
6.6
PPG
2.1
RPG
1.3
APG
225
GAMES
Points 1,480Win Shares 9.7Starts 60Best season 2024-25 · 8.3 ppg
Games played, last three seasons85%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 24 → 26
▼Declining

Keon, at 26, is trending downward — +1.2 → -0.5 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.5 wins (+2.2)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Range 2.3–6.6 wins.
Production (BPM)+1.2 → -0.5-1.726-27 forecast +0.7
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +1.2 · 57 games2024-25: +1.9 · 80 games2025-26: -0.5 · 72 games2026-27: +0.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)2.7 → 2.3-0.426-27 forecast 4.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 2.7 · 57 games2024-25: 4.7 · 80 games2025-26: 2.3 · 72 games2026-27: 4.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $12.4M vs $9.0M salary+$3.4M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$9.0M salary2023-24: $5.9M · 57 games2024-25: $14.3M · 80 games2025-26: $5.0M · 72 games2026-27: $12.4M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $9,000,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$9,000,000Guaranteed
6% of the club’s payroll · 7th of 15 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$12,412,000 /yr
Surplus+$3,412,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.