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Killian Hayes

Sacramento Kings · Reserve
12th best of 14 on SAC
OFF64DEF77
Elite playmaker & rim protector
SAC
Sacramento Kings
Western · Pacific · proj. 33-49 (▲+0.6)
→

A former lottery pick trying to stick as a defensive-minded backup guard. No 2025-26 NBA sample to grade here, so this is a profile rather than a rating — a big-bodied playmaker whose pro future hinges entirely on whether the jumper ever arrives.

6.9
PPG
2.8
RPG
4.9
APG
0.9
SPG
0.5
BPG
GP 42MPG 24FG% 41.33P% 29.7FT% 66TS% 47.4USG% 15.1PER 10.5BPM -2.7VORP -0.2
2023-24 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2023-24 form
Playmaking92
Rim protection89
Perimeter defense82
Rebounding72
Scoring55
Inside finishing55
Shooting52

Skill ratings are 2023-24 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2020-21 to 2025-26 · 6 seasons
7.9
PPG
2.9
RPG
5.0
APG
239
GAMES
Points 1,885Win Shares -0.4Starts 153Best season 2023-24 · 6.9 ppg
Games played, last three seasons29%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 22 → 24
▬Steady

Killian, at 24, has held steady — 0.8 → 0.4 wins of value over the window.

2026-27 forecast▲ 1.6 wins (+1.2)
Assumes a normal season; he played 23 games last year. Age should add a little at 25. Range 0.4–2.9 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.7 → -6.0-3.326-27 forecast -3.7
Only 407 minutes last season, too few to call a trend.
2023-24: -2.7 · 42 games2024-25: -0.6 · 6 games2025-26: -6.0 · 23 games2026-27: -3.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.8 → 0.4-0.426-27 forecast 1.6
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 0.8 · 42 games2024-25: 1.4 · 6 games2025-26: 0.4 · 23 games2026-27: 1.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $3.9M
Unsigned, so there is no 2026-27 salary to measure against. This is roughly what his play would fetch on the open market.
2023-24: $2.5M · 42 games2024-25: $3.4M · 6 games2025-26: $2.1M · 23 games2026-27: $3.9M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: through '26. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
UFA FREE AGENT

team declined his option

Cap hit—
Cap hold on his old club$2,100,000
Est. market value$3,882,203 /yr

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.