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Luka Garza

Boston Celtics · #52 · Rotation
C6'10"243 lbage 275 yrs expIowaWashington, DC
9th best of 11 on BOSworth +1.6 wins to the rotation
OFF83DEF72
Elite shooter & interior finisher
BOS
Boston Celtics
Eastern · Atlantic · proj. 62-20 (▲+1.4)
→

A throwback bucket-getting big who is brutally efficient when he plays — 68.2% true shooting on a 95th-percentile inside-finishing rate, and he stretched it out to 43.3% from three this year. He scores in bunches and rebounds his area (84th percentile) with a knack for drawing fouls. The limitations are mobility and rim protection on defense, but as a third-string offensive spark he produces.

8.1
PPG
4.1
RPG
1
APG
0.4
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 69MPG 16.2FG% 57.73P% 43.3FT% 76.9TS% 68.2USG% 17.7PER 19.9BPM +2.4VORP 1.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Shooting92
Inside finishing90
Scoring78
Playmaking69
Perimeter defense68
Rebounding64
Rim protection64

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2021-22 to 2025-26 · 5 seasons
6.0
PPG
2.7
RPG
0.6
APG
193
GAMES
Points 1,161Win Shares 8.2Starts 11Best season 2025-26 · 8.1 ppg
Games played, last three seasons54%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 25 → 27
▲Rising

Luka, at 27, is on a clear upward trajectory — 1.2 → 3.4 wins of value over the window.

2026-27 forecast▲ 4.6 wins (+1.2)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Range 3.2–6.1 wins.
Production (BPM)-2.1 → +2.4+4.526-27 forecast +1.8
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: -2.1 · 25 games2024-25: -2.3 · 39 games2025-26: +2.4 · 69 games2026-27: +1.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.2 → 3.4+2.226-27 forecast 4.6
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 1.2 · 25 games2024-25: 1.2 · 39 games2025-26: 3.4 · 69 games2026-27: 4.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $13.5M vs $2.8M salary+$10.7M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$2.8M salary2023-24: $3.1M · 25 games2024-25: $3.1M · 39 games2025-26: $7.9M · 69 games2026-27: $13.5M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $2,801,346 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$2,801,346Guaranteed
1% of the club’s payroll · 11th of 13 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$13,511,523 /yr
Surplus+$10,710,177
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.