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Wendell Carter Jr.

Orlando Magic · #34 · Starter
C6'10"270 lbage 278 yrs expDukeAtlanta, GA
6th best of 12 on ORLworth +1.6 wins to the rotation
OFF73DEF73
Capable shooter & scorer
ORL
Orlando Magic
Eastern · Southeast · proj. 46-36 (▲+2.3)
→

A skilled, efficient connector at center — 61.7% true shooting, 85th-percentile finishing inside, and reliable rebounding (85th percentile) on modest 15.6% usage. He sets the table on offense and draws fouls at a high clip; he won't anchor a defense or stretch the floor (31.9% from three), but he's a clean, low-mistake starting five.

11.8
PPG
7.4
RPG
2
APG
0.8
SPG
0.6
BPG
GP 78MPG 29.3FG% 51.23P% 31.9FT% 79.2TS% 61.7USG% 15.6PER 14.1BPM -0.6VORP 0.8EPM +1.2
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Shooting84
Scoring79
Inside finishing77
Playmaking74
Perimeter defense74
Rebounding66
Rim protection57

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
11.9
PPG
8.1
RPG
2.0
APG
461
GAMES
Points 5,487Win Shares 33.3Starts 423Best season 2025-26 · 11.8 ppg
Games played, last three seasons82%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 24 → 26
▼Declining

Wendell, at 26, is trending downward — +0.9 → -0.6 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.8 wins (+2.1)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Range 3.3–6.2 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.9 → -0.6-1.526-27 forecast -0.5
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +0.9 · 55 games2024-25: -1.2 · 68 games2025-26: -0.6 · 78 games2026-27: -0.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.0 → 2.7-0.426-27 forecast 4.8
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 3.0 · 55 games2024-25: 1.7 · 68 games2025-26: 2.7 · 78 games2026-27: 4.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $14.7M vs $18.1M salary−$3.4M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$18.1M salary2023-24: $6.9M · 55 games2024-25: $4.1M · 68 games2025-26: $5.9M · 78 games2026-27: $14.7M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $18,102,000 cap hit · through '29. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$18,102,000Guaranteed
8% of the club’s payroll · 5th of 14 priced deals
Runs through3 seasons
Est. market value$14,684,000 /yr
Surplus−$3,418,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.