🏀Front Office2026-27
 
Dallas Mavericks
76
OVR

Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · #3 · Rotation
SF6'6"220 lbage 286 yrs expXavierAtlantic City, NJ
7th best of 12 on DALworth +0.8 wins to the rotation
OFF73DEF72
High-level interior finisher & playmaker
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
Western · Southwest · proj. 40-42 (▲+3.4)

A bruising, downhill wing who thrives bullying his way to the rim — 76th-percentile inside finishing on 51% shooting, drawing fouls at an 85th-percentile rate. He chipped in 15.2 points and 3.3 assists as a secondary creator and competes on defense, but the jumper (29.1% from three) remains the hole in his game. A tough, useful two-way connector.

15.2
PPG
4.7
RPG
3.3
APG
1.1
SPG
0.1
BPG
GP 74MPG 29.5FG% 513P% 29.1FT% 76TS% 59.2USG% 20.5PER 15.4BPM -0.6VORP 0.8EPM +0.4
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing87
Playmaking86
Perimeter defense83
Scoring82
Rebounding64
Shooting63
Rim protection51

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2020-21 to 2025-26 · 6 seasons
10.1
PPG
4.0
RPG
2.5
APG
373
GAMES
Points 3,765Win Shares 14.6Starts 114Best season 2025-26 · 15.2 ppg
Games played, last three seasons85%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 26 → 28
Steady

Naji, at 28, has held steady — 1.9 → 2.7 wins of value over the window.

Age curve On curve
Developing about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast 3.4 wins (+0.7)
Age takes about 0.1 wins off at 29. Range 2.64.2 wins.
Production (BPM)-0.7-0.6+0.126-27 forecast -0.8
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: -0.7 · 66 games2024-25: -0.8 · 69 games2025-26: -0.6 · 74 games2026-27: -0.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.92.7+0.726-27 forecast 3.4
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.9 · 66 games2024-25: 2.3 · 69 games2025-26: 2.7 · 74 games2026-27: 3.4 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $7.9M vs $17.4M salary−$9.5M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$17.4M salary2023-24: $4.4M · 66 games2024-25: $5.0M · 69 games2025-26: $5.9M · 74 games2026-27: $7.9M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $17,400,000 cap hit · through '30. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$17,400,000Guaranteed
10% of the club’s payroll · 3rd of 14 priced deals
Runs through4 seasons
Est. market value$7,857,000 /yr
Surplus$9,543,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.