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Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder · #7 · All-Star
PF7'1"208 lbage 243 yrs expGonzagaMinneapolis, MN
2nd best of 11 on OKCworth +5.3 wins to the rotation
OFF83DEF84
Elite rim protector & rebounder
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
Western · Northwest · proj. 68-14
→
All-NBAAll-StarAll-Defensive2025-26: DPOY runner-up

A modern unicorn anchoring the OKC defense — runner-up for Defensive Player of the Year and an All-Defensive First Team selection at seven feet. He's skilled and efficient on the other end too (17.1 points on 65% true shooting with range to the arc), more finisher than creator for now. All-NBA Third Team at 24, and the ceiling is still climbing.

17.1
PPG
8.9
RPG
1.7
APG
0.6
SPG
1.9
BPG
GP 69MPG 28.9FG% 55.73P% 36.2FT% 79.2TS% 65.3USG% 21.9PER 21.6BPM +4.2VORP 3.1EPM +3.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection99
Rebounding98
Inside finishing97
Scoring93
Shooting78
Perimeter defense76
Playmaking58

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2023-24 to 2025-26 · 3 seasons
16.5
PPG
8.3
RPG
2.1
APG
183
GAMES
Points 3,017Win Shares 21.2Starts 183Best season 2025-26 · 17.1 ppg
Games played, last three seasons74%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 21 → 23
▬Steady

Chet, at 23, has held steady — 7.3 → 7.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Developing about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 8.5 wins (+1.6)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 24. Range 5.5–11.5 wins.
Production (BPM)+3.4 → +4.2+0.826-27 forecast +4.1
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: +3.4 · 82 games2024-25: +2.4 · 32 games2025-26: +4.2 · 69 games2026-27: +4.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)7.3 → 7.0-0.426-27 forecast 8.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 7.3 · 82 games2024-25: 3.0 · 32 games2025-26: 7.0 · 69 games2026-27: 8.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $47.7M vs $41.5M salary+$6.2M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$41.5M salary2023-24: $40.8M · 82 games2024-25: $6.9M · 32 games2025-26: $37.5M · 69 games2026-27: $47.7M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $41,500,000 cap hit · through '31. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$41,500,000Guaranteed
19% of the club’s payroll · 1st of 15 priced deals
Runs through5 seasons
Est. market value$47,708,000 /yr
Surplus+$6,208,000
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.