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John Collins

Detroit Pistons · Starter
PF6'9"226 lbage 289 yrs expWake ForestWest Palm Beach, FL
4th best of 13 on DETworth +1.5 wins to the rotation
OFF76DEF75
Elite interior finisher & rim protector
DET
Detroit Pistons
Eastern · Central · proj. 40-42 (▲+4.7)
→

A bouncy, efficient roll-and-pop big who finished inside at a 55% clip and stretched the floor at 40.6% from three for a sterling 64.3% true shooting. He cleans the glass and protects the rim respectably, but he's a non-passer (1.0 assist a game) who's strictly a finisher, not a creator. Hits free agency this summer.

13.6
PPG
5.3
RPG
1
APG
0.9
SPG
0.7
BPG
GP 69MPG 27.1FG% 55.23P% 40.6FT% 76.6TS% 64.3USG% 19.5PER 16.3BPM -0.5VORP 0.7EPM +0.7
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing94
Rim protection90
Scoring87
Rebounding86
Shooting82
Perimeter defense74
Playmaking51

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2017-18 to 2025-26 · 9 seasons
15.7
PPG
7.7
RPG
1.4
APG
541
GAMES
Points 8,488Win Shares 43.8Starts 466Best season 2020-21 · 17.6 ppg
Games played, last three seasons72%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 26 → 28
▬Steady

John, at 28, has held steady — 2.1 → 2.5 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Developing about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 3.8 wins (+1.3)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age takes about 0.1 wins off at 29. Range 2.7–5.0 wins.
Production (BPM)-0.9 → -0.5+0.426-27 forecast -0.4
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: -0.9 · 68 games2024-25: +1.0 · 40 games2025-26: -0.5 · 69 games2026-27: -0.4 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)2.1 → 2.5+0.426-27 forecast 3.8
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 2.1 · 68 games2024-25: 2.9 · 40 games2025-26: 2.5 · 69 games2026-27: 3.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $9.6M vs $17.0M salary−$7.4M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$17.0M salary2023-24: $4.7M · 68 games2024-25: $6.4M · 40 games2025-26: $5.4M · 69 games2026-27: $9.6M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $17,000,000 cap hit · through '26. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$17,000,000Guaranteed
11% of the club’s payroll · 2nd of 15 priced deals
Runs through—
Est. market value$9,552,000 /yr
Surplus−$7,448,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.