🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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95
OVR

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander★

Oklahoma City Thunder · #2 · Elite
PG6'6"195 lbage 278 yrs expKentuckyToronto, ON
1st best of 11 on OKCworth +11.0 wins to the rotation
OFF98DEF87
Elite scorer & rim protector
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
Western · Northwest · proj. 68-14
→
2× MVP4× All-NBA4× All-StarClutch Player of the Year

The reigning MVP and the straw that stirs the drink in Oklahoma City. He led the league in scoring at 31.1 a night on a ridiculous 66.5% true shooting, getting to his spots with the best midrange game and foul-drawing craft in basketball. He was also named Clutch Player of the Year and remains a genuine point-of-attack defender — a superstar with no real weakness outside the glass.

31.1
PPG
4.3
RPG
6.6
APG
1.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
GP 68MPG 33.2FG% 55.33P% 38.6FT% 87.9TS% 66.5USG% 33.4PER 30.8BPM +11.7VORP 7.8EPM +6.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Scoring99
Rim protection97
Inside finishing96
Playmaking94
Perimeter defense91
Shooting89
Rebounding77

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
25.3
PPG
4.7
RPG
5.3
APG
530
GAMES
Points 13,411Win Shares 75.6Starts 521Best season 2024-25 · 32.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons89%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 25 → 27
▲Rising

Shai, at 27, is on a clear upward trajectory — +9.0 → +11.7 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▼ 12.2 wins (-1.8)
Starts from his player rating, which is more cautious than last season's total. Range 11.4–13.0 wins.
Production (BPM)+9.0 → +11.7+2.726-27 forecast +11.1
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: +9.0 · 75 games2024-25: +11.5 · 76 games2025-26: +11.7 · 68 games2026-27: +11.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)14.0 → 14.0+0.026-27 forecast 12.2
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 14.0 · 75 games2024-25: 14.0 · 76 games2025-26: 14.0 · 68 games2026-27: 12.2 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $53.9M vs $40.8M salary+$13.1M
His play is projected to be worth more than he is paid.
$40.8M salary2023-24: $56.0M · 75 games2024-25: $56.0M · 76 games2025-26: $56.0M · 68 games2026-27: $53.9M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $40,806,150 cap hit · through '31. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$40,806,150Guaranteed
19% of the club’s payroll · 3rd of 15 priced deals
Runs through5 seasons
Est. market value$53,923,200 /yr
Surplus+$13,117,050
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.