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Duncan Robinson

Detroit Pistons · #55 · Rotation
SG6'7"215 lbage 328 yrs expMichiganYork, ME
7th best of 13 on DETworth +1.0 wins to the rotation
OFF79DEF72
Elite interior finisher & scorer
DET
Detroit Pistons
Eastern · Central · proj. 40-42 (▲+4.7)
→

One of the league's premier movement shooters, here to do one thing exceptionally: bury threes. He drilled 41% from deep on 62.9% true shooting and almost never turned it over (98th percentile ball security), spacing the floor across 77 games. The flip side is defense and rebounding — he grades poorly on the glass and on the perimeter — but the gravity of that jumper is the whole point.

12.2
PPG
2.7
RPG
2.1
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 77MPG 27.4FG% 45.63P% 41FT% 75.5TS% 62.9USG% 15.8PER 12.4BPM +0.8VORP 1.5EPM +0.4
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing96
Scoring87
Shooting78
Rim protection77
Playmaking76
Perimeter defense66
Rebounding59

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
11.5
PPG
2.6
RPG
1.9
APG
500
GAMES
Points 5,737Win Shares 26.0Starts 360Best season 2025-26 · 12.2 ppg
Games played, last three seasons89%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 29 → 31
▲Rising

Duncan, at 31, is on a clear upward trajectory — 2.3 → 4.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Aging better than the curve — holding his level longer than most.
2026-27 forecast▼ 2.9 wins (-1.0)
Age takes about 0.6 wins off at 32. Range 1.1–4.8 wins.
Production (BPM)-0.9 → +0.8+1.726-27 forecast -0.7
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: -0.9 · 68 games2024-25: -1.7 · 74 games2025-26: +0.8 · 77 games2026-27: -0.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)2.3 → 4.0+1.726-27 forecast 2.9
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 2.3 · 68 games2024-25: 1.4 · 74 games2025-26: 4.0 · 77 games2026-27: 2.9 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $6.6M vs $16.0M salary−$9.4M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$16.0M salary2023-24: $5.0M · 68 games2024-25: $3.4M · 74 games2025-26: $10.2M · 77 games2026-27: $6.6M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $15,992,957 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$15,992,957Guaranteed
10% of the club’s payroll · 3rd of 15 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$6,588,000 /yr
Surplus−$9,404,957
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.