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Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · #5 · Starter
PG6'0"197 lbage 329 yrs expWichita StateRockford, IL
5th best of 14 on HOUworth +0.7 wins to the rotation
OFF72DEF79
Elite perimeter defender & playmaker
HOU
Houston Rockets
Western · Southwest · proj. 60-22 (▲+4.9)
→
All-Star

A steadying veteran lead guard and former champion who brings toughness, defensive pressure and floor leadership. He missed the entire 2025-26 season to injury, so there's no fresh sample to rate, but on his $25M player option he's a proven shot-maker and tone-setter when healthy.

14.1
PPG
3.7
RPG
5.6
APG
1.6
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 60MPG 35.2FG% 37.83P% 34.5FT% 81TS% 51.5USG% 17.7PER 12.8BPM +0.9VORP 1.5EPM +1.0
2024-25 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2024-25 form
Perimeter defense92
Playmaking88
Rim protection77
Scoring70
Shooting70
Rebounding61
Inside finishing52

Skill ratings are 2024-25 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2016-17 to 2024-25 · 9 seasons
14.9
PPG
3.4
RPG
5.7
APG
550
GAMES
Points 8,204Win Shares 46.1Starts 401Best season 2023-24 · 17.4 ppg
Games played, last three seasons54%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2024-25 · age 29 → 30
▼Declining

Fred, at 30, is trending downward — 7.9 → 4.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Falling off faster than age alone predicts.
2026-27 forecast▼ 3.3 wins (-0.6)
Age takes about 1.1 wins off at 32. Range 2.5–4.1 wins.
Production (BPM)+3.4 → +0.9-2.526-27 forecast +1.2
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +3.4 · 73 games2024-25: +0.9 · 60 games2026-27: +1.2 (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Value to team (wins)7.9 → 4.0-3.926-27 forecast 3.3
His win contribution is trending down.
2023-24: 7.9 · 73 games2024-25: 4.0 · 60 games2026-27: 3.3 (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $7.6M vs $25.0M salary−$17.4M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$25.0M salary2023-24: $44.3M · 73 games2024-25: $10.2M · 60 games2026-27: $7.6M (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Current deal: $25,000,000 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2024-25). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$25,000,000Player option
11% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 12 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$7,641,000 /yr
Surplus−$17,359,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.