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Jabari Smith Jr.

Houston Rockets · #10 · Starter
PF6'11"220 lbage 234 yrs expAuburnFayetteville, GA
7th best of 14 on HOUworth +0.7 wins to the rotation
OFF72DEF74
High-level rim protector & rebounder
HOU
Houston Rockets
Western · Southwest · proj. 60-22 (▲+4.9)
→

A long, switchable forward and floor-spacer who knocked down 36% of his threes and took terrific care of the ball. At 23 he's a quality two-way starter — 15.8 points and 6.9 rebounds — though the self-creation and rim pressure are still developing and his perimeter defense graded out below the line this year.

15.8
PPG
6.9
RPG
1.9
APG
0.7
SPG
0.9
BPG
GP 77MPG 35.1FG% 453P% 36.3FT% 77.5TS% 57USG% 18.2PER 13.5BPM -0.7VORP 0.9EPM +1.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection88
Rebounding81
Shooting77
Scoring76
Inside finishing69
Perimeter defense63
Playmaking59

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2022-23 to 2025-26 · 4 seasons
13.7
PPG
7.3
RPG
1.5
APG
289
GAMES
Points 3,967Win Shares 18.3Starts 271Best season 2025-26 · 15.8 ppg
Games played, last three seasons85%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 20 → 22
▬Steady

Jabari, at 22, has held steady — 3.0 → 2.9 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Developing slower than his age would suggest.
2026-27 forecast▲ 5.1 wins (+2.2)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 23. Range 3.9–6.2 wins.
Production (BPM)-0.4 → -0.7-0.326-27 forecast -0.2
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: -0.4 · 76 games2024-25: -0.7 · 57 games2025-26: -0.7 · 77 games2026-27: -0.2 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.0 → 2.9-0.226-27 forecast 5.1
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 3.0 · 76 games2024-25: 2.3 · 57 games2025-26: 2.9 · 77 games2026-27: 5.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $17.1M vs $23.6M salary−$6.5M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$23.6M salary2023-24: $6.9M · 76 games2024-25: $5.0M · 57 games2025-26: $6.4M · 77 games2026-27: $17.1M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $23,643,411 cap hit · through '31. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$23,643,411Guaranteed
10% of the club’s payroll · 5th of 12 priced deals
Runs through5 seasons
Est. market value$17,120,000 /yr
Surplus−$6,523,411
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.