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Lonnie Walker IV

Denver Nuggets · Reserve
SG6'4"205 lb6 yrs expMiamiReading, PA
11th best of 15 on DEN
OFF70DEF72
High-level rim protector & rebounder
DEN
Denver Nuggets
Western · Northwest · proj. 56-26 (▲+2.8)
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Lonnie Walker IV is a rotation-level guard. His best traits are his rim protection (90), while his playmaking (56) is the clear limitation. In 2023-24, he averaged 9.7 points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

9.7
PPG
2.2
RPG
1.3
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 58MPG 17.4FG% 42.33P% 38.4FT% 76.3TS% 54.5USG% 24.4PER 13.1BPM -1.4VORP 0.2
2023-24 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2023-24 form
Rim protection90
Rebounding75
Shooting72
Perimeter defense71
Scoring67
Inside finishing59
Playmaking56

Skill ratings are 2023-24 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2024-25 · 7 seasons
10.0
PPG
2.3
RPG
1.5
APG
342
GAMES
Points 3,418Win Shares 4.9Starts 95Best season 2022-23 · 11.7 ppg
Games played, last three seasons32%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2024-25 · age 25 → 26
▬Steady

Lonnie, at 26, has held steady — 1.6 → 1.2 wins of value over the window.

2026-27 forecast▲ 2.2 wins (+1.0)
Assumes a normal season; he played 20 games last year. Range 1.4–3.0 wins.
Production (BPM)-1.4 → -2.4-1.026-27 forecast -1.8
Only 478 minutes last season, too few to call a trend.
2023-24: -1.4 · 58 games2024-25: -2.4 · 20 games2026-27: -1.8 (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Value to team (wins)1.6 → 1.2-0.426-27 forecast 2.2
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.6 · 58 games2024-25: 1.2 · 20 games2026-27: 2.2 (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $4.9M vs $3.3M salary+$1.6M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$3.3M salary2023-24: $3.8M · 58 games2024-25: $3.1M · 20 games2026-27: $4.9M (forecast)23-2424-2526-27
Current deal: $3,300,000 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2024-25). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$3,300,000Guaranteed
2% of the club’s payroll · 11th of 13 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$4,853,374 /yr
Surplus+$1,553,374
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.