🏀Front Office2026-27
 
← Denver Nuggets
72
OVR

Julian Strawther

Denver Nuggets · #3 · Rotation
SG6'6"205 lbage 243 yrs expGonzagaLas Vegas, NV
10th best of 15 on DEN
OFF70DEF70
Capable interior finisher & shooter
DEN
Denver Nuggets
Western · Northwest · proj. 56-26 (▲+2.8)
→

A pure microwave shooter off the Denver bench, brought in to put points on the board in a hurry. In 15 minutes a night he hit 38.7% from three on a willing 19.4% usage, taking care of the ball when the shot wasn't there. The defense and inside scoring lag behind, but the catch-and-shoot stroke is a real NBA skill.

7.2
PPG
2
RPG
1.1
APG
0.4
SPG
0.1
BPG
GP 57MPG 15.1FG% 46.73P% 38.7FT% 81.4TS% 59USG% 19.4PER 12.5BPM -2.3VORP -0.1EPM -0.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing82
Shooting81
Rebounding81
Scoring73
Rim protection65
Perimeter defense63
Playmaking62

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2023-24 to 2025-26 · 3 seasons
7.1
PPG
1.8
RPG
1.1
APG
172
GAMES
Points 1,228Win Shares 2.7Starts 18Best season 2025-26 · 7.2 ppg
Games played, last three seasons70%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 21 → 23
▲Rising

Julian, at 23, is on a clear upward trajectory — -6.0 → -2.3 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 2.7 wins (+1.7)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 24. Range 1.5–3.8 wins.
Production (BPM)-6.0 → -2.3+3.726-27 forecast -3.3
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: -6.0 · 50 games2024-25: -4.5 · 65 games2025-26: -2.3 · 57 games2026-27: -3.3 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.1 → 1.0+0.926-27 forecast 2.7
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 0.1 · 50 games2024-25: 0.0 · 65 games2025-26: 1.0 · 57 games2026-27: 2.7 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $5.8M vs $4.8M salary+$1.0M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$4.8M salary2023-24: $1.6M · 50 games2024-25: $1.5M · 65 games2025-26: $2.8M · 57 games2026-27: $5.8M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $4,826,931 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$4,826,931Team option
2% of the club’s payroll · 8th of 13 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$5,832,000 /yr
Surplus+$1,005,069
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.