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Reed Sheppard

Houston Rockets · #15 · Starter
SG6'2"185 lbage 222 yrs expKentuckyLondon, KY
8th best of 14 on HOUworth +0.3 wins to the rotation
OFF78DEF82
Elite rim protector & perimeter defender
HOU
Houston Rockets
Western · Southwest · proj. 60-22 (▲+4.9)
→

A sharpshooting young combo guard who broke out as a 6th-Man-of-the-Year candidate, playing all 82 games and chipping in 13.5 points on 39% from three. He's a high-IQ connector who racks up steals (1.5 a night) and competes on defense — score-first with a real shooting niche and the playmaking feel to grow into more.

13.5
PPG
2.9
RPG
3.4
APG
1.5
SPG
0.7
BPG
GP 82MPG 26.2FG% 433P% 39.4FT% 80.2TS% 56.4USG% 21.7PER 15.7BPM +2.7VORP 2.5EPM +0.6
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Rim protection97
Perimeter defense95
Shooting81
Scoring78
Playmaking76
Rebounding66
Inside finishing62

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2024-25 to 2025-26 · 2 seasons
10.0
PPG
2.4
RPG
2.6
APG
134
GAMES
Points 1,339Win Shares 6.6Starts 24Best season 2025-26 · 13.5 ppg

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2024-25 → 2025-26 · age 20 → 21
▲Rising

Reed, at 21, is on a clear upward trajectory — 1.4 → 5.8 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▼ 4.6 wins (-1.2)
Starts from his player rating, which is more cautious than last season's total. Age should add a little at 22. Range 3.8–5.4 wins.
Production (BPM)-1.7 → +2.7+4.426-27 forecast +2.6
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2024-25: -1.7 · 52 games2025-26: +2.7 · 82 games2026-27: +2.6 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.4 → 5.8+4.526-27 forecast 4.6
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2024-25: 1.4 · 52 games2025-26: 5.8 · 82 games2026-27: 4.6 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $13.7M vs $11.1M salary+$2.6M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$11.1M salary2024-25: $3.4M · 52 games2025-26: $25.1M · 82 games2026-27: $13.7M (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Current deal: $11,108,880 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2024-25 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$11,108,880Team option
5% of the club’s payroll · 8th of 12 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$13,676,000 /yr
Surplus+$2,567,120
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.