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Tobias Harris

San Antonio Spurs · Rotation
PF6'8"226 lbage 3315 yrs expTennesseeDix Hills, NY
9th best of 15 on SASworth +0.1 wins to the rotation
OFF77DEF77
High-level shooter & playmaker
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
Western · Southwest · proj. 48-34 (▲+2.2)
→

A steady veteran forward in the back half of his career, now an unrestricted free agent after a season of low-usage, high-efficiency complementary work. He knocked down 36.8% from three on 57.4% true shooting and almost never coughed it up — ball security in the 93rd percentile — while chipping in 13.3 points. He won't create much off the bounce anymore, but he's a clean, reliable spacing piece.

13.3
PPG
5.1
RPG
2.5
APG
0.9
SPG
0.4
BPG
GP 63MPG 27.7FG% 46.93P% 36.8FT% 86.6TS% 57.4USG% 18.8PER 15BPM +1.4VORP 1.5EPM -0.3
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Shooting88
Playmaking87
Perimeter defense84
Rebounding76
Scoring75
Rim protection75
Inside finishing63

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2011-12 to 2025-26 · 15 seasons
15.9
PPG
6.1
RPG
2.4
APG
1,033
GAMES
Points 16,440Win Shares 80.6Starts 913Best season 2020-21 · 19.5 ppg
Games played, last three seasons84%
AMONG CURRENT PLAYERS
24th in career points19th in games played

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 31 → 33
▬Steady

Tobias, at 33, has held steady — 4.3 → 4.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Aging better than the curve — holding his level longer than most.
2026-27 forecast▼ 1.5 wins (-2.4)
Starts from his player rating, which is more cautious than last season's total. Age takes about 1.1 wins off at 34. Range 0.3–2.8 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.9 → +1.4+0.526-27 forecast +0.1
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: +0.9 · 70 games2024-25: +0.1 · 73 games2025-26: +1.4 · 63 games2026-27: +0.1 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)4.3 → 4.0-0.426-27 forecast 1.5
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 4.3 · 70 games2024-25: 3.4 · 73 games2025-26: 4.0 · 63 games2026-27: 1.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $3.7M vs $15.5M salary−$11.8M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$15.5M salary2023-24: $11.8M · 70 games2024-25: $7.9M · 73 games2025-26: $10.2M · 63 games2026-27: $3.7M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $15,500,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$15,500,000Guaranteed
7% of the club’s payroll · 5th of 14 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$3,718,667 /yr
Surplus−$11,781,333
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.