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Keldon Johnson

San Antonio Spurs · #3 · Rotation
SF6'5"220 lbage 267 yrs expKentuckySouth Hill, VA
7th best of 15 on SASworth +0.8 wins to the rotation
OFF79DEF72
High-level interior finisher & rebounder
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
Western · Southwest · proj. 48-34 (▲+2.2)
→
Sixth Man of the Year

A bruising, downhill scorer who thrived off the bench — a top-3 Sixth Man of the Year finish — finishing inside at a strong clip (80th-percentile inside finishing, 51.9% from the floor) and crashing the glass at his position. He's a play-finisher more than a creator (1.4 assists) and the defense lags, but the instant offense and 36% three are real bench value.

13.2
PPG
5.4
RPG
1.4
APG
0.6
SPG
0.1
BPG
GP 82MPG 23.3FG% 51.93P% 36.3FT% 79.4TS% 61.3USG% 21PER 17.3BPM +0.9VORP 1.4EPM +0.4
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing89
Rebounding89
Scoring83
Shooting79
Perimeter defense67
Playmaking65
Rim protection54

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2019-20 to 2025-26 · 7 seasons
15.1
PPG
5.4
RPG
2.0
APG
452
GAMES
Points 6,842Win Shares 23.2Starts 232Best season 2025-26 · 13.2 ppg
Games played, last three seasons93%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 24 → 26
▲Rising

Keldon, at 26, is on a clear upward trajectory — 1.6 → 3.8 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▲ Ahead of curve
Developing faster than a typical player his age.
2026-27 forecast▬ 3.6 wins (-0.1)
At 27, expect about the same level. Range 2.2–5.1 wins.
Production (BPM)-1.7 → +0.9+2.626-27 forecast -0.3
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2023-24: -1.7 · 69 games2024-25: -1.6 · 77 games2025-26: +0.9 · 82 games2026-27: -0.3 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.6 → 3.8+2.226-27 forecast 3.6
He's worth more wins to a team than he was.
2023-24: 1.6 · 69 games2024-25: 1.6 · 77 games2025-26: 3.8 · 82 games2026-27: 3.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $8.7M vs $17.5M salary−$8.8M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$17.5M salary2023-24: $3.8M · 69 games2024-25: $3.8M · 77 games2025-26: $9.4M · 82 games2026-27: $8.7M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $17,500,000 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$17,500,000Guaranteed
8% of the club’s payroll · 4th of 14 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$8,716,000 /yr
Surplus−$8,784,000
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.