🏀Front Office2026-27
 
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OVR

Zach LaVine★

Sacramento Kings · #8 · Starter
SG6'5"200 lbage 3112 yrs expUCLASeattle, WA
3rd best of 14 on SACworth +3.3 wins to the rotation
OFF77DEF63
Elite scorer & shooter
SAC
Sacramento Kings
Western · Pacific · proj. 33-49 (▲+0.6)
→
2× All-Star

A high-volume scorer on a near-max deal whose game has narrowed to one elite skill: shooting. He poured in 19.2 a night on 39% from three and 88% at the line for a tidy 61.4% true shooting, but the playmaking (2.3 assists) is modest and the defense (11th-percentile perimeter) is a genuine liability. A bucket-getter, not a two-way star.

19.2
PPG
2.8
RPG
2.3
APG
0.7
SPG
0.3
BPG
GP 39MPG 31.4FG% 47.93P% 39FT% 88TS% 61.4USG% 23.7PER 14.7BPM -1.5VORP 0.2EPM +1.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Scoring93
Shooting90
Inside finishing87
Rim protection71
Playmaking56
Rebounding54
Perimeter defense54

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2014-15 to 2025-26 · 12 seasons
20.7
PPG
4.0
RPG
3.9
APG
693
GAMES
Points 14,338Win Shares 38.6Starts 602Best season 2022-23 · 24.8 ppg
Games played, last three seasons56%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 28 → 30
▼Declining

Zach, at 30, is trending downward — +0.1 → -1.5 box plus-minus over the window.

Age curve▼ Behind curve
Falling off faster than age alone predicts.
2026-27 forecast▲ 4.0 wins (+2.4)
Assumes a normal season; he played 39 games last year. Age takes about 0.5 wins off at 31. Range 1.5–6.4 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.1 → -1.5-1.626-27 forecast -0.5
His on-court production has slipped.
2023-24: +0.1 · 25 games2024-25: +0.7 · 74 games2025-26: -1.5 · 39 games2026-27: -0.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)2.1 → 1.6-0.626-27 forecast 4.0
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 2.1 · 25 games2024-25: 4.5 · 74 games2025-26: 1.6 · 39 games2026-27: 4.0 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $10.1M vs $49.0M salary−$38.9M
He is paid more than his play is projected to be worth.
$49.0M salary2023-24: $4.7M · 25 games2024-25: $12.8M · 74 games2025-26: $3.8M · 39 games2026-27: $10.1M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: $48,967,380 cap hit · through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$48,967,380Player option
25% of the club’s payroll · 1st of 14 priced deals
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$10,080,000 /yr
Surplus−$38,887,380
ABOVE VALUEpaid above his on-court value

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.