🏀Front Office2026-27
 
Houston Rockets
76
OVR

Bogdan Bogdanović

Houston Rockets · Rotation
SG6'5"225 lbage 339 yrs expBelgrade, Serbia
9th best of 14 on HOUworth +0.2 wins to the rotation
OFF69DEF73
Capable shooter & interior finisher
HOU
Houston Rockets
Western · Southwest · proj. 60-22 (▲+4.9)

A veteran combo guard and movement shooter brought in for instant offense off the bench. There's no 2025-26 sample here to rate, but the book on him is a high-volume three-point gunner and secondary creator whose defense has slipped into his thirties; his $16M is a team option.

10.8
PPG
2.9
RPG
2.7
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
GP 54MPG 25FG% 42.73P% 36.3FT% 87.9TS% 55.9USG% 18.7PER 11.1BPM -2VORP 0EPM +0.4
2024-25 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2024-25 form
Shooting84
Inside finishing76
Scoring74
Rebounding73
Perimeter defense73
Rim protection69
Playmaking68

Skill ratings are 2024-25 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2017-18 to 2025-26 · 9 seasons
14.0
PPG
3.3
RPG
3.2
APG
526
GAMES
Points 7,344Win Shares 25.0Starts 200Best season 2023-24 · 16.9 ppg
Games played, last three seasons63%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 31 → 33
Steady

Bogdan, at 33, was as productive as ever when he played, but managed only 23 games last season, so his value to a team dipped (3.8 → 1.0 wins).

2026-27 forecast 2.5 wins (+1.5)
Assumes a normal season; he played 23 games last year. Age takes about 1.1 wins off at 34. Range 1.04.0 wins.
Production (BPM)+0.2-3.1-3.326-27 forecast -2.0
Only 453 minutes last season, too few to call a trend.
2023-24: +0.2 · 79 games2024-25: -2.0 · 54 games2025-26: -3.1 · 23 games2026-27: -2.0 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)3.81.0-2.826-27 forecast 2.5
Down because he played 23 games last season, not because his game slipped.
2023-24: 3.8 · 79 games2024-25: 1.2 · 54 games2025-26: 1.0 · 23 games2026-27: 2.5 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $5.4M
Unsigned, so there is no 2026-27 salary to measure against. This is roughly what his play would fetch on the open market.
2023-24: $9.4M · 79 games2024-25: $3.1M · 54 games2025-26: $2.8M · 23 games2026-27: $5.4M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: through '27. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
Signed · terms pending
Runs through1 season
Est. market value$5,427,000 /yr
Surplus+$5,427,000
BARGAINworth more than he is paid

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.