🏀Front Office2026-27
 
← Denver Nuggets
74
OVR

Spencer Jones

Denver Nuggets · #21 · Rotation
SF6'7"225 lbage 252 yrs expStanfordRoeland Park, KS
9th best of 15 on DENworth +0.5 wins to the rotation
OFF68DEF74
Elite interior finisher & rim protector
DEN
Denver Nuggets
Western · Northwest · proj. 56-26 (▲+2.8)
→

A 3-and-D wing prospect who quietly carved out a role, finishing inside (89th percentile) and protecting the rim better than his size suggests. He shot a tidy 39.6% from deep at minuscule 9.7% usage and competed defensively. The free-throw stroke (61%) is a red flag, but the catch-and-shoot-plus-defense profile is a useful one as he hits free agency.

5.5
PPG
3.3
RPG
0.8
APG
0.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
GP 64MPG 22.1FG% 50.43P% 39.6FT% 60.8TS% 61.9USG% 9.7PER 9.3BPM -2.4VORP -0.1EPM 0.0
2025-26 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2025-26 form
Inside finishing96
Rim protection82
Perimeter defense81
Shooting73
Scoring72
Playmaking62
Rebounding62

Skill ratings are 2025-26 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2024-25 to 2025-26 · 2 seasons
4.5
PPG
2.7
RPG
0.7
APG
84
GAMES
Points 378Win Shares 2.6Starts 37Best season 2025-26 · 5.5 ppg

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2024-25 → 2025-26 · age 23 → 24
▲Rising

Spencer, at 24, is on a clear upward trajectory — -8.5 → -2.4 box plus-minus over the window.

2026-27 forecast▲ 3.4 wins (+2.4)
Starts from his player rating, which is higher than last season's total. Age should add a little at 25. Range 2.5–4.2 wins.
Production (BPM)-8.5 → -2.4+6.126-27 forecast -2.5
His per-possession game has clearly sharpened.
2024-25: -8.5 · 20 games2025-26: -2.4 · 64 games2026-27: -2.5 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Value to team (wins)0.8 → 1.0+0.226-27 forecast 3.4
His value to a team has been stable.
2024-25: 0.8 · 20 games2025-26: 1.0 · 64 games2026-27: 3.4 (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $7.7M vs $6.0M salary+$1.7M
He is paid about what his play is projected to be worth.
$6.0M salary2024-25: $2.5M · 20 games2025-26: $2.8M · 64 games2026-27: $7.7M (forecast)24-2525-2626-27
Current deal: $6,000,000 cap hit · through '28. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2024-25 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
$6,000,000Guaranteed
3% of the club’s payroll · 7th of 13 priced deals
Runs through2 seasons
Est. market value$7,695,000 /yr
Surplus+$1,695,000
FAIR VALUEpaid about what he is worth

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

2026-27 off-season

1 move

OFFICIAL means the league’s own records carry the move; AGREED means a trusted insider reported it and the league has not processed it yet. Terms and attribution come from the wire, which is the only source that carries them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.