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OVR

Aaron Holiday

Houston Rockets · Reserve
12th best of 14 on HOU
OFF70DEF73
High-level shooter & perimeter defender
HOU
Houston Rockets
Western · Southwest · proj. 60-22 (▲+4.9)
→

A veteran backup point guard who provides ballhandling depth and competitive on-ball defense in spot minutes. There's no 2025-26 sample to rate here, and he hits free agency as a known journeyman quantity — a steady, low-usage third guard rather than a needle-mover.

6.6
PPG
1.6
RPG
1.8
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
GP 78MPG 16.3FG% 44.63P% 38.7FT% 92.1TS% 57.8USG% 16.7PER 11.5BPM -1.5VORP 0.2
2023-24 regular season · bars are percentile at his position

NBA player ratings

0–99 · 2023-24 form
Shooting91
Perimeter defense80
Inside finishing75
Playmaking72
Scoring68
Rebounding59
Rim protection58

Skill ratings are 2023-24 per-game and advanced stats (Basketball-Reference) ranked 0–99 within position (guards vs guards, bigs vs bigs). Overall is anchored to EPM impact on a non-linear curve, nudged by these skills; Offense and Defense come from box plus-minus. A player who missed the latest season is shown from his most recent one.

Career

2018-19 to 2025-26 · 8 seasons
6.4
PPG
1.5
RPG
1.9
APG
505
GAMES
Points 3,209Win Shares 11.6Starts 67Best season 2023-24 · 6.6 ppg
Games played, last three seasons80%

Regular season, 2003-04 onward (Basketball-Reference). Averages are weighted by games played; honours count awards won, not finishes. “Current players” means the 802 who played in the last three seasons.

Trajectory

2023-24 → 2025-26 · age 27 → 29
▬Steady

Aaron, at 29, has held steady — 1.6 → 1.0 wins of value over the window.

Age curve▬ On curve
Declining about on schedule for his age.
2026-27 forecast▲ 1.6 wins (+0.6)
Assumes a normal season; he played 57 games last year. Age takes about 0.3 wins off at 30. Range 0.5–2.7 wins.
Production (BPM)-1.5 → -2.4-0.926-27 forecast -1.8
His production has held roughly steady.
2023-24: -1.5 · 78 games2024-25: -0.2 · 62 games2025-26: -2.4 · 57 games2026-27: -1.8 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Value to team (wins)1.6 → 1.0-0.626-27 forecast 1.6
His value to a team has been stable.
2023-24: 1.6 · 78 games2024-25: 1.7 · 62 games2025-26: 1.0 · 57 games2026-27: 1.6 (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Contract value2026-27: worth $3.9M
Unsigned, so there is no 2026-27 salary to measure against. This is roughly what his play would fetch on the open market.
2023-24: $3.8M · 78 games2024-25: $4.1M · 62 games2025-26: $2.8M · 57 games2026-27: $3.9M (forecast)23-2425-2626-27
Current deal: through '26. On the contract row the flat dashed line is this salary, so the gap to the 2026-27 forecast is the surplus.

Seasons from Basketball-Reference (2023-24 → 2025-26). Production is box plus-minus, a per-possession measure. Value is VORP-based wins, so it also counts games played. Contract value is what each season’s play would fetch on the open market. The dotted 2026-27 point is a forecast: his established level, a year older, assuming a normal season.

Contract

2026-27
UFA FREE AGENT

contract expired

Cap hit—
Cap hold on his old club$2,100,000
Est. market value$3,874,086 /yr

Market value is an estimate, not a reported figure: what his play is forecast to fetch on the open market in 2026-27 — his current rating, a year older. Cap thresholds are projected for 2026-27 until the league sets them.

Plays like

same position

Nearest skill profiles across the seven rating axes — who he plays like, not who is as good. The rating beside each name answers that second question.